The majority of articles that I've written are concerned with finding the best investment vehicles when they are most in demand, hence the focus on relative strength and momentum. There is another school of thought that views investments from an entirely different perspective, that is from a contrarian and necessarily longer term horizon. Investing in … Continue reading Contrarian Ideas
When the media refers to "the market", the normal reference is to the Dow Jones Industrial Average. As we know, the Dow is only a very narrow measure of stock market activity. Though its constituency changes over the years to better reflect the most dynamic sectors of the US economy, it does not necessarily measure … Continue reading Where Is The Action?
As you'd expect, there has been positive activity in the Gold sector. It may be surprising that relative strength was occurring here even before the recent market volatility. As we look at the relative performance of some major sectors, it wasn't obvious that gold stocks were outperforming the overall market (as measured by the Nasdaq). … Continue reading Gold
We've been able to logically navigate the swings in the market thus far using some technical tools, some logic and as always, a bit of luck. Much of what has moved markets has been unpredictably external to market dynamics and we are still under some uncertainty in that regard. The activity in the markets reflects … Continue reading Tactic Update
The panic selling that overwhelmed the markets over the last month has subsided. The VIX indicator has come off of its violent spike in mid February with a current reading of 44 versus a peak of 82 just about a month ago. While this statistic has fallen off the high, we are still in an … Continue reading Progress Status
Beyond the obvious actions of price and volume, there are also measures of the internal state of the markets that give clues as to long term health and potential trend inflections. Breadth, or the measure of advancing issues versus declining issues can reveal whether a market's present trend is flagging and about to either pause … Continue reading Internals