On March 22, almost a month ago, we discussed scenarios for the direction of the market, specifically the Dow Jones in the weeks to follow. At the time, the market was at maximum fear and volatility measures were spiking to all time highs. Because of the climatic nature of the sell off at the time, … Continue reading Market Update May 14
In line with the theme of the previous post, I am going to illustrate a thought process that anyone can employ. One of the hallmarks of a strong economy is the strength of the consumer sector, especially in what is labelled as 'consumer discretionary'. This sector encompasses companies that sell consumables or luxuries, including such … Continue reading Needs vs Wants
We are well past the initial bomb blast that hit the markets in mid February. The panic selling that ensued was a function of an un-quantifiable outside force which hit the markets without much warning. Over the months, the nature of the threat has been identified and there are measures being taken globally to address … Continue reading May Update
The majority of articles that I've written are concerned with finding the best investment vehicles when they are most in demand, hence the focus on relative strength and momentum. There is another school of thought that views investments from an entirely different perspective, that is from a contrarian and necessarily longer term horizon. Investing in … Continue reading Contrarian Ideas
When the media refers to "the market", the normal reference is to the Dow Jones Industrial Average. As we know, the Dow is only a very narrow measure of stock market activity. Though its constituency changes over the years to better reflect the most dynamic sectors of the US economy, it does not necessarily measure … Continue reading Where Is The Action?
We've been able to logically navigate the swings in the market thus far using some technical tools, some logic and as always, a bit of luck. Much of what has moved markets has been unpredictably external to market dynamics and we are still under some uncertainty in that regard. The activity in the markets reflects … Continue reading Tactic Update
The panic selling that overwhelmed the markets over the last month has subsided. The VIX indicator has come off of its violent spike in mid February with a current reading of 44 versus a peak of 82 just about a month ago. While this statistic has fallen off the high, we are still in an … Continue reading Progress Status